Source code for process_improve.multivariate._mbpls

# (c) Kevin Dunn, 2010-2026. MIT License. Based on own private work over the years.
"""Multi-block PLS (MBPLS) estimator and its randomization test (ENG-01).

Holds :class:`MBPLS`, the hierarchical / superblock multi-block PLS regressor,
and :func:`randomization_test_mbpls`, the permutation test for the significance
of each fitted component.
"""

from __future__ import annotations

import dataclasses
import itertools
import logging
import numbers
import time
import typing
import warnings
from collections.abc import Sequence

import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
from sklearn.base import BaseEstimator, RegressorMixin, _fit_context, clone
from sklearn.metrics import r2_score
from sklearn.model_selection import BaseCrossValidator, RepeatedKFold
from sklearn.utils import Bunch
from sklearn.utils.validation import check_is_fitted

from .._random import check_random_state, sklearn_random_state
from ..visualization.themes import REFERENCE_LINE_COLOR
from ._base import _HotellingsT2LimitMixin
from ._common import (
    DiagnoseResult,
    SelectionRule,
    SpecificationWarning,
    _equal_weight_r2_total,
    _nz,
    _own_axes,
    _rows_with_data,
    _scale_block_contributions,
    _select_n_components,
    check_at_least_one,
    check_response_block,
    check_variance_left,
    check_whole,
    check_x_varies,
    check_y_varies,
    components_to_fit,
    constant_columns,
    epsqrt,
    informative_widths,
    largest_ssq_column,
    refuse_empty_block,
    resolve_loop_settings,
    text_table,
    unobserved_columns,
    user_stacklevel,
    y_is_exhausted,
    y_reach,
)
from ._diagnostics import _select_rows, _t2_score_sd, cumulative_block_t2
from ._limits import spe_calculation
from ._mbpca import _validate_blocks
from ._nipals import quick_regress, ssq
from ._preprocessing import MCUVScaler

try:
    import plotly.graph_objects as go
except ImportError:  # pragma: no cover - exercised via env-without-plotly
    from process_improve._extras import _MissingExtra

    go = _MissingExtra("plotly", "plotting")  # type: ignore[assignment]


logger = logging.getLogger(__name__)


def _stacked_super_weights(
    block_weights: dict[str, np.ndarray],
    super_weight: np.ndarray,
    sqrt_kb: dict[str, float],
    block_names: Sequence[str],
) -> np.ndarray:
    r"""Give the super score's weight on every variable, stacked over the blocks in ``block_names`` order.

    Written out over the variables rather than over the blocks,

    .. math::
        t_i = \sum_b w_{s,b} \frac{\mathbf{x}_{ib}' \mathbf{w}_b}{\sqrt{K_b}}
            = \mathbf{x}_i' \mathbf{g},
        \qquad
        \mathbf{g} = \big[\, w_{s,b}\, \mathbf{w}_b / \sqrt{K_b} \,\big]_b

    the super score is one linear combination of all the variables of all the blocks.
    ``g`` is that combination. (The block weights ``w_b`` have unit length, and so does the
    super weight ``w_s``, so no block score or super score is divided by a sum of squares.)
    """
    return np.concatenate([super_weight[b] * block_weights[name] / sqrt_kb[name] for b, name in enumerate(block_names)])


def _pooled_super_score(
    x_def: dict[str, np.ndarray], stacked_weights: np.ndarray, block_names: Sequence[str]
) -> np.ndarray:
    r"""Score every row by one masked regression of the whole row onto the stacked weights.

    The alternative is to score each block on its own and add the per-block scores up. On a
    complete row the two give the same number, but they part company as soon as a row has missing
    cells: a block observed in one variable out of twenty still hands a score built on that one
    variable into the sum, weighted as though it were as well determined as the others. Regressing
    the whole row at once instead lets every cell the row does have carry its share, wherever in
    the blocks that cell sits.

    The ratio is rescaled by :math:`\mathbf{g}'\mathbf{g}` so a complete row reproduces the
    weighted sum of block scores exactly, which is what leaves every complete-data model
    unchanged. A row with nothing observed under a non-zero weight has no score: it comes back
    as NaN, the division by NaN in place of 0 giving no warning.
    """
    numerator = np.nan_to_num(np.hstack([x_def[name] for name in block_names])) @ stacked_weights
    return numerator / _pooled_divisor(x_def, stacked_weights, block_names) * float(stacked_weights @ stacked_weights)


def _pooled_divisor(
    x_def: dict[str, np.ndarray], stacked_weights: np.ndarray, block_names: Sequence[str]
) -> np.ndarray:
    """Return what :func:`_pooled_super_score` divides each row by: ``g'g`` over its observed cells, or NaN for none."""
    denominator = ~np.isnan(np.hstack([x_def[name] for name in block_names])) @ (stacked_weights**2)
    return np.where(denominator > 0, denominator, np.nan)


def _validate_fit_arguments(X: dict[str, pd.DataFrame], y: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame:
    """Check the shapes and types ``fit`` was handed, and return ``y`` as a DataFrame."""
    _validate_blocks(X)
    if not isinstance(y, pd.DataFrame):
        y = pd.DataFrame(y)
    refuse_empty_block(y, "y")
    check_response_block(y, X[next(iter(X))].shape[0])
    return y


class _MBPLSLoopContext(typing.NamedTuple):
    """The quantities one component's NIPALS iteration needs that do not change between components."""

    algo: str
    block_names: Sequence[str]
    sqrt_kb: dict[str, float]
    block_has_data: dict[str, np.ndarray]
    tol: float
    max_iter: int


class _MBPLSComponent(typing.NamedTuple):
    """What one component's NIPALS iteration converged to, after the sign convention."""

    block_weights: dict[str, np.ndarray]
    block_scores: dict[str, np.ndarray]
    super_weight: np.ndarray
    super_score: np.ndarray
    super_y_score: np.ndarray
    super_y_loading: np.ndarray
    iterations: int
    converged: bool


def _block_projections(
    x_def: dict[str, np.ndarray], u_a: np.ndarray, context: _MBPLSLoopContext
) -> tuple[dict[str, np.ndarray], dict[str, np.ndarray], np.ndarray]:
    """Regress every block on ``u``, giving each block's weight, its score, and the score summary.

    The ``"nipals"`` branch is mask-aware: each projection is a per-column (or per-row)
    regression that uses only the entries that are not NaN, and divides by the masked sum of
    squares. It reuses the same primitives as single-block PCA NIPALS. On the dense path each
    weight is scaled to unit length as soon as it is formed, so dividing it by ``u'u`` first,
    or a score by ``w_b'w_b``, would change nothing.
    """
    local_w: dict[str, np.ndarray] = {}
    local_t: dict[str, np.ndarray] = {}
    t_b_summary = np.zeros((u_a.shape[0], len(context.block_names)))
    if context.algo == "nipals":
        u_a_col = u_a[:, np.newaxis]
        for b_idx, name in enumerate(context.block_names):
            w_b = quick_regress(x_def[name], u_a_col, per="column").flatten()
            w_b = w_b / _nz(float(np.sqrt(ssq(w_b))))
            t_b = quick_regress(x_def[name], w_b[:, np.newaxis], per="row").flatten() / context.sqrt_kb[name]
            local_w[name] = w_b
            local_t[name] = t_b
            t_b_summary[:, b_idx] = np.where(
                context.block_has_data[name],
                t_b,
                np.nan,  # pragma: no mutate - None reads as NaN in a float array
            )
    else:
        for b_idx, name in enumerate(context.block_names):
            w_b = x_def[name].T @ u_a
            w_b = w_b / _nz(float(np.linalg.norm(w_b)))
            t_b = x_def[name] @ w_b / context.sqrt_kb[name]
            local_w[name] = w_b
            local_t[name] = t_b
            t_b_summary[:, b_idx] = t_b
    return local_w, local_t, t_b_summary


def _block_loadings(
    x_def: dict[str, np.ndarray], t_super: np.ndarray, context: _MBPLSLoopContext
) -> dict[str, np.ndarray]:
    """Regress every block on the super score, giving the loadings that deflate it."""
    t_super_col = t_super[:, np.newaxis]
    loadings: dict[str, np.ndarray] = {}
    for name in context.block_names:
        if context.algo == "nipals":
            loadings[name] = quick_regress(x_def[name], t_super_col, per="column").flatten()
        else:
            loadings[name] = x_def[name].T @ t_super / _nz(float(t_super @ t_super))
    return loadings


def _apply_sign_convention(
    component: _MBPLSComponent, x_def: dict[str, np.ndarray], context: _MBPLSLoopContext
) -> _MBPLSComponent:
    """Flip the component so its largest-magnitude X loading, over all blocks, is positive.

    This is single-block PLS's convention, so the fitted signs do not depend on the seed,
    and a one-block model has PLS's signs (#586). The super weight is not flipped, and
    cannot decide the sign: its element for block b is proportional to ``t_b' u``, which
    flipping the whole component leaves unchanged. (With no missing data that is
    ``||X_b' u||``, never negative, so the old convention keyed on it never fired.)
    """
    loadings = _block_loadings(x_def, component.super_score, context)
    stacked = np.nan_to_num(np.concatenate([loadings[name] for name in context.block_names]))
    if stacked[int(np.argmax(np.abs(stacked)))] >= 0:
        return component
    return component._replace(
        block_weights={name: -weights for name, weights in component.block_weights.items()},
        block_scores={name: -scores for name, scores in component.block_scores.items()},
        super_score=-component.super_score,
        super_y_score=-component.super_y_score,
        super_y_loading=-component.super_y_loading,
    )


def _component_along_x(x_def: dict[str, np.ndarray], y_def: np.ndarray, context: _MBPLSLoopContext) -> _MBPLSComponent:
    """Fit a component along the largest direction left in the blocks, for when Y has nothing left (#913).

    The weighted blocks stand in for Y, so the hierarchical NIPALS converges to the leading
    principal component of the deflated, block-weighted X. The component has a Y-loading of
    0 and no Y-score, so the predictions stay as they were, as in PLS (#1074). Y's regression
    on the super score, its Y-loading until then, still moved them: once every column of X
    is spent, the super score is round-off, and the regression the ratio of two round-off
    errors.
    """
    target = np.column_stack([x_def[name] / context.sqrt_kb[name] for name in context.block_names])
    component = _fit_one_component(x_def, target, context)
    return component._replace(
        super_y_loading=np.zeros(y_def.shape[1]), super_y_score=np.zeros(component.super_score.shape)
    )


def _fit_one_component(x_def: dict[str, np.ndarray], y_def: np.ndarray, context: _MBPLSLoopContext) -> _MBPLSComponent:
    """Iterate one hierarchical NIPALS component to convergence on the deflated blocks.

    The first pass always runs. A centred seed changes by about its own size in that pass,
    so a tolerance above 1 used to end the loop before it began and leave no weights.
    """
    # Deterministic start (#503): seed ``u`` from the column of the (deflated) Y block with the
    # largest sum of squares, exactly as single-block PLS does (#195). No RNG is involved, so the
    # fit is reproducible without a random_state parameter, and the highest-variance Y column is
    # closest to the leading component; ties go to the first (#954). The sign convention applied
    # after convergence makes the fitted signs independent of this seed. (NaN is replaced by 0.)
    u_a = largest_ssq_column(y_def)[:, 0]
    for itern in itertools.count(1):
        prev = u_a
        local_w, local_t, t_b_summary = _block_projections(x_def, u_a, context)

        if context.algo == "nipals":
            # Masked, so a block this row has nothing in does not vote on the super weight.
            w_s = quick_regress(t_b_summary, u_a[:, np.newaxis], per="column").flatten()
        else:
            # Scaled to unit length on the next line, so not divided by u'u first.
            w_s = t_b_summary.T @ u_a
        w_s = w_s / _nz(float(np.linalg.norm(w_s)))
        # One masked regression of the whole row onto the stacked weights, rather than a weighted
        # sum of per-block scores: identical on complete rows, and on a row with missing cells it
        # uses every cell the row has instead of one score per block.
        t_super = _pooled_super_score(
            x_def, _stacked_super_weights(local_w, w_s, context.sqrt_kb, context.block_names), context.block_names
        )
        # A row observed nowhere, or only where the weights are zero, has no score for this component:
        # place it at the centre, with no weight in the regressions on t, as PCA and PLS fit an
        # all-missing row (#1098).
        t_super = np.nan_to_num(t_super)
        if context.algo == "nipals":
            c_a = quick_regress(y_def, t_super[:, np.newaxis], per="column").flatten()
            u_a = quick_regress(y_def, c_a[:, np.newaxis], per="row").flatten()
        else:
            c_a = y_def.T @ t_super / _nz(float(t_super @ t_super))
            u_a = y_def @ c_a / _nz(float(c_a @ c_a))
        # Relative convergence criterion (#504): the change between two successive ``u`` iterations is
        # judged against the size of the current ``u`` vector, so the decision is invariant to a global
        # rescaling of the data. The denominator is floored via ``_nz`` so an all-zero ``u`` vector
        # cannot divide by zero.
        # Converged means the last pass met the tolerance, even when it was the last pass allowed (#1080).
        converged = bool(np.linalg.norm(prev - u_a) / _nz(float(np.linalg.norm(u_a))) <= context.tol)
        if converged or itern >= context.max_iter:
            break

    component = _MBPLSComponent(
        block_weights=local_w,
        block_scores=local_t,
        super_weight=w_s,
        super_score=t_super,
        super_y_score=u_a,
        super_y_loading=c_a,
        iterations=itern,
        converged=converged,
    )
    return _apply_sign_convention(component, x_def, context)


def _deflate(
    x_def: dict[str, np.ndarray], y_def: np.ndarray, component: _MBPLSComponent, context: _MBPLSLoopContext
) -> tuple[dict[str, np.ndarray], np.ndarray, dict[str, np.ndarray]]:
    """Remove the component from every X-block and from Y, using the super score.

    Returns the deflated blocks, the deflated Y, and the per-block loadings that did the
    deflating.
    """
    t_super = component.super_score
    loadings = _block_loadings(x_def, t_super, context)
    for name in context.block_names:
        x_def[name] = x_def[name] - np.outer(t_super, loadings[name])
    return x_def, y_def - np.outer(t_super, component.super_y_loading), loadings


class _InitialSumsOfSquares(typing.NamedTuple):
    """The sums of squares of the preprocessed data, the denominators of every R² below.

    R² is undefined for a block or a column with nothing to explain, so its sum of squares
    is held as NaN: every R² divided by it is NaN, without the warning a division by 0
    gives, and not a misleading 1.0. ``fit`` refuses a Y with nothing to explain (#1075).
    """

    x_block: dict[str, float]
    x_variable: dict[str, np.ndarray]
    y_total: float
    y_variable: np.ndarray

    @classmethod
    def of(cls, x_blocks_pp: dict[str, np.ndarray], y_pp: np.ndarray) -> _InitialSumsOfSquares:
        """Take the sums of squares of the preprocessed blocks and Y."""
        x_variable = {name: np.nansum(values**2, axis=0) for name, values in x_blocks_pp.items()}
        y_variable = np.nansum(y_pp**2, axis=0)
        x_block = {name: float(np.sum(values)) for name, values in x_variable.items()}
        y_total = float(np.sum(y_variable))
        return cls(
            x_block={name: total if total > 0 else np.nan for name, total in x_block.items()},
            x_variable={name: np.where(values > 0, values, np.nan) for name, values in x_variable.items()},
            y_total=y_total,
            y_variable=np.where(y_variable > 0, y_variable, np.nan),
        )


@dataclasses.dataclass
class _MBPLSArrays:
    """The numpy workspace a fit fills in, one column per component, wrapped in pandas at the end."""

    super_scores: np.ndarray
    super_y_scores: np.ndarray
    super_weights: np.ndarray
    super_y_loadings: np.ndarray
    block_scores: dict[str, np.ndarray]
    block_weights: dict[str, np.ndarray]
    block_loadings: dict[str, np.ndarray]
    block_spe: dict[str, np.ndarray]
    r2_x_block_cum: np.ndarray
    r2_x_var_cum: dict[str, np.ndarray]
    r2_y_cum: np.ndarray
    r2_y_var_cum: np.ndarray
    timing: np.ndarray
    iterations: np.ndarray
    converged: np.ndarray

    @classmethod
    def allocate(cls, block_widths: dict[str, int], n_samples: int, n_targets: int, n_components: int) -> _MBPLSArrays:
        """Allocate the workspace for a fit of the given shape."""
        n_blocks = len(block_widths)
        per_block = {name: np.zeros((n_samples, n_components)) for name in block_widths}
        per_variable = {name: np.zeros((width, n_components)) for name, width in block_widths.items()}
        return cls(
            super_scores=np.zeros((n_samples, n_components)),
            super_y_scores=np.zeros((n_samples, n_components)),
            super_weights=np.zeros((n_blocks, n_components)),
            super_y_loadings=np.zeros((n_targets, n_components)),
            block_scores=per_block,
            block_weights={name: values.copy() for name, values in per_variable.items()},
            block_loadings={name: values.copy() for name, values in per_variable.items()},
            block_spe={name: values.copy() for name, values in per_block.items()},
            r2_x_block_cum=np.zeros((n_blocks, n_components)),
            r2_x_var_cum={name: values.copy() for name, values in per_variable.items()},
            r2_y_cum=np.zeros(n_components),
            r2_y_var_cum=np.zeros((n_targets, n_components)),
            timing=np.zeros(n_components),
            iterations=np.zeros(n_components, dtype=int),
            converged=np.zeros(n_components, dtype=bool),
        )

    def record_component(
        self, a: int, component: _MBPLSComponent, loadings: dict[str, np.ndarray], context: _MBPLSLoopContext
    ) -> None:
        """Store component ``a``'s scores, weights and loadings.

        A block a row has nothing observed in gets NaN for its block score, not a zero, which
        would place the row at that block's average.
        """
        for name in context.block_names:
            self.block_loadings[name][:, a] = loadings[name]
            self.block_weights[name][:, a] = component.block_weights[name]
            self.block_scores[name][:, a] = np.where(
                context.block_has_data[name],
                component.block_scores[name],
                np.nan,  # pragma: no mutate - None reads as NaN in a float array
            )
        self.super_scores[:, a] = component.super_score
        self.super_y_scores[:, a] = component.super_y_score
        self.super_weights[:, a] = component.super_weight
        self.super_y_loadings[:, a] = component.super_y_loading
        self.iterations[a] = component.iterations
        self.converged[a] = component.converged

    def record_explained_variation(
        self,
        a: int,
        x_def: dict[str, np.ndarray],
        y_def: np.ndarray,
        initial: _InitialSumsOfSquares,
        context: _MBPLSLoopContext,
    ) -> None:
        """Store the cumulative R²X and R²Y through component ``a``, and the per-block SPE.

        R² is NaN where the initial sum of squares is NaN: see :class:`_InitialSumsOfSquares`.
        """
        for b_idx, name in enumerate(context.block_names):
            ssq_remain_per_var = np.nansum(x_def[name] ** 2, axis=0)
            self.r2_x_block_cum[b_idx, a] = 1 - np.sum(ssq_remain_per_var) / initial.x_block[name]
            self.r2_x_var_cum[name][:, a] = 1 - ssq_remain_per_var / initial.x_variable[name]
            self.block_spe[name][:, a] = np.where(
                context.block_has_data[name],
                np.sqrt(np.nansum(x_def[name] ** 2, axis=1)),
                np.nan,  # pragma: no mutate - None reads as NaN in a float array
            )
        ssq_y_remain_per_var = np.nansum(y_def**2, axis=0)
        self.r2_y_cum[a] = 1 - np.sum(ssq_y_remain_per_var) / initial.y_total
        self.r2_y_var_cum[:, a] = 1 - ssq_y_remain_per_var / initial.y_variable


[docs] class MBPLS(_HotellingsT2LimitMixin, RegressorMixin, BaseEstimator): r"""Multi-block PLS (hierarchical / superblock formulation). Generic multi-block PLS as described by Westerhuis, Kourti & MacGregor (1998) and Westerhuis & Smilde (2001). Each X-block is preprocessed independently (mean-centred and unit-variance scaled), then divided by ``sqrt(K_b)`` so that blocks of unequal width contribute fairly to the super-score. Parameters ---------- n_components : int Number of latent variables to extract. max_iter : int, default=500 Maximum NIPALS iterations per latent variable. tol : float, default=``epsqrt`` (about 1.5e-8) Relative convergence tolerance on the change in the Y-block score ``u``: the norm of the change between two successive iterations, divided by the norm of the current ``u`` vector (#504). The same default, and the same meaning, as on PCA / PLS / TPLS. It used to default to ``None`` and be resolved to ``epsqrt`` inside ``fit``; the literal is the default now, which removes a branch and lets ``get_params`` report the value that will actually be used (#588). The legacy absolute tolerance ``np.finfo(float).eps ** (6/7)`` (about 3.8e-14) sits below the floating-point oscillation floor of a relative criterion, so it would never be reached in practice. algorithm : str, default="auto" Algorithm to use for fitting the model. - ``"auto"``: dense vectorised hierarchical NIPALS when every block (X and Y) is complete; mask-aware NIPALS when any block contains missing values. - ``"dense"``: dense vectorised hierarchical NIPALS. Raises if any block contains missing values. - ``"nipals"``: mask-aware hierarchical NIPALS. Always uses the NaN-tolerant inner-loop primitives, even when the data is complete (slower than ``"dense"`` but produces equivalent results). With missing data the super score of each row is estimated by one masked regression of the whole row onto the stacked block weights, rather than by adding up a score per block. The two are the same number on a complete row, so no fitted model changes; on an incomplete row the pooled form lets every observed cell carry its share, wherever in the blocks it sits, instead of letting a block seen in one variable speak as loudly as a block seen in twenty. A row with nothing observed in one block is therefore still scored, from the blocks it does have. A row observed in no block at all has a super score of 0 and no weight, as PCA and PLS fit an all-missing row; so does a row with no observed response in the regressions of the blocks on Y (#1098). missing_data_settings : dict or None, default=None MBPLS reads no keys from it. The keys ``md_tol`` and ``md_max_iter`` were removed in 2.0 and raise a :class:`ValueError`; set ``tol`` and ``max_iter`` instead. Attributes (after fitting) -------------------------- n_components_ : int The number of components fitted. Everything after ``fit`` reads it, not the ``n_components`` parameter, so ``set_params`` without a refit changes nothing. block_names_ : list[str] Ordered list of X-block names (the keys of the input dict). block_widths_ : dict[str, int] Number of variables in each X-block. block_informative_widths_ : dict[str, int] Number of variables in each X-block whose values vary (at least 1). The block weighting divides by its square root, so constant columns do not lower a block's weight. n_samples_ : int Number of rows fitted. n_targets_ : int Number of Y columns. n_features_in_ : int Total number of X variables summed across blocks. feature_names_in_ : np.ndarray Concatenated column names, one per feature, in block order. preproc_ : dict[str, MCUVScaler] Per-block preprocessors used to mean-centre and unit-variance scale each X-block. y_preproc_ : MCUVScaler Preprocessor used on Y. super_scores_ : pd.DataFrame, shape (n_samples, n_components) Super-block (consensus) X-scores ``T``. Finite for every row, and 0 for a row with nothing observed in any block. super_y_scores_ : pd.DataFrame, shape (n_samples, n_components) Super-block Y-scores ``U``. super_weights_ : pd.DataFrame, shape (n_blocks, n_components) Super-block weights ``w_super``; rows indexed by block name. super_y_loadings_ : pd.DataFrame, shape (n_targets, n_components) Y-block loadings ``c``. super_hotellings_t2_ : pd.DataFrame, shape (n_samples, n_components) Cumulative Hotelling's T^2 on the super-scores per component. super_vip_ : pd.Series Variable-importance in projection for each X-block, indexed by block name. Computed from ``super_weights_``, each component weighted by its share of the **Y** variance (``r2_y_per_component_``), as a PLS VIP is: it ranks the blocks by their part in predicting Y. block_scores_ : dict[str, pd.DataFrame] Per-block X-scores ``t_b``, each shape ``(n_samples, n_components)``. NaN for a row with nothing observed in that block: the block has no score of its own there, and reporting zero would place the row at the block's average instead. block_weights_ : dict[str, pd.DataFrame] Per-block X-weights ``w_b``, each shape ``(K_b, n_components)``. Each column has unit norm. block_loadings_ : dict[str, pd.DataFrame] Per-block X-loadings ``p_b`` (used for deflation), each shape ``(K_b, n_components)``. block_spe_ : dict[str, pd.DataFrame] Per-block squared prediction error per sample and component. NaN where the row has nothing observed in that block, for the same reason as ``block_scores_``. block_hotellings_t2_ : dict[str, pd.DataFrame] Per-block cumulative Hotelling's T^2 per sample and component. Each component is scaled by its block scores' second moment about zero, as ``super_hotellings_t2_`` is by ``explained_variance_``. block_vip_ : dict[str, pd.Series] Per-block variable-importance in projection, indexed by variable name inside each block. Computed from ``block_weights_``, each component weighted by its share of **that block's X** variance (``r2_x_per_block_per_component_``), not of Y as ``super_vip_`` is: it ranks a block's variables by their part in the components that describe the block. predictions_ : pd.DataFrame, shape (n_samples, n_targets) In-sample Y predictions on the *original* scale. explained_variance_ : np.ndarray, shape (n_components,) Variance of the super-score per component (ddof=1). scaling_factor_for_super_scores_ : pd.Series ``sqrt(explained_variance_)`` per component. r2_x_per_block_cumulative_ : pd.DataFrame, shape (n_blocks, n_components) Cumulative R^2X per block and component. r2_x_per_block_per_component_ : pd.DataFrame, shape (n_blocks, n_components) Incremental R^2X per block and component. r2_x_per_variable_ : dict[str, pd.DataFrame] Cumulative R^2X per variable within each block. r2_y_cumulative_ : pd.Series, shape (n_components,) Cumulative R^2Y per component. r2_y_per_component_ : pd.Series, shape (n_components,) Incremental R^2Y per component. r2_y_per_variable_ : pd.DataFrame, shape (n_targets, n_components) Cumulative R^2Y per Y-variable and component. fitting_info_ : dict Per-component iteration count and timing. has_missing_data_ : bool Whether any X-block or Y had NaN values. algorithm_ : str The resolved algorithm actually used for the fit. With ``algorithm="auto"``, this is ``"dense"`` for complete data and ``"nipals"`` for NaN-containing data. Notes ----- Block weighting uses the convention :math:`X_b / \sqrt{K_b}` so that every block contributes the same total sum of squares to the super-score, regardless of how many variables it has. Missing data ------------ When any X-block or Y contains NaN entries, the ``"auto"`` algorithm routes to a mask-aware NIPALS variant. The X-block weights, block scores, block loadings used for deflation, Y-block loadings and Y-block scores are each computed as a regression that uses only the observed entries; the masked sum-of-squares is used as the denominator so missing values neither bias the latent direction nor contribute to the score. The mask is preserved across components automatically because deflation propagates NaN through subtraction. This is the standard skip-NaN NIPALS update; see Walczak & Massart (2001) and Arteaga & Ferrer (2002). A column of an X-block or of Y with nothing observed is left out of the model, with a ``UserWarning`` that names it, as across the family (#1098): its weights and loadings are 0, a value a new row has in it adds nothing to that row's scores or SPE, and a response with no observed value has NaN predictions. References ---------- Westerhuis, J. A., Kourti, T. & MacGregor, J. F. *Analysis of multiblock and hierarchical PCA and PLS models.* Journal of Chemometrics, 12 (1998), 301-321. Westerhuis, J. A. & Smilde, A. K. *Deflation in multiblock PLS.* Journal of Chemometrics, 15 (2001), 485-493. Walczak, B. & Massart, D. L. *Dealing with missing data: Part I.* Chemom. Intell. Lab. Syst., 58 (2001), 15-27. Arteaga, F. & Ferrer, A. *Dealing with missing data in MSPC: several methods, different interpretations, some examples.* J. Chemometrics, 16 (2002), 408-418. """ _valid_algorithms: typing.ClassVar[list[str]] = ["auto", "dense", "nipals"] _parameter_constraints: typing.ClassVar = { "n_components": [numbers.Integral], "max_iter": [numbers.Integral], "tol": [numbers.Real], "algorithm": [str], "missing_data_settings": [dict, None], } def __init__( self, n_components: int, *, max_iter: int = 500, tol: float = epsqrt, algorithm: str = "auto", # pragma: no mutate - _resolve_algorithm lowercases it, so "AUTO" is the same default missing_data_settings: dict | None = None, ): super().__init__() self.n_components = n_components self.max_iter = max_iter self.tol = tol self.algorithm = algorithm self.missing_data_settings = missing_data_settings
[docs] @_fit_context(prefer_skip_nested_validation=True) def fit(self, X: dict[str, pd.DataFrame], y: pd.DataFrame) -> MBPLS: """Fit the multi-block PLS model. Parameters ---------- X : dict[str, pd.DataFrame] X-blocks. Keys are block names; values are DataFrames sharing the same row index (and row count). Each block is preprocessed independently. y : pd.DataFrame Y-block. Same row index / row count as the X-blocks. Raises ------ NotEnoughVarianceError If every column of Y, or every column of every X-block, is constant or has no observed value, or if Y has no variance left for a component, as when it is fitted exactly: as :meth:`PLS.fit` raises. A block with no variance beside one that varies is fitted with zero weight: its block scores, weights and contributions are 0, and a warning names it. """ check_at_least_one("n_components", self.n_components) y = _own_axes(_validate_fit_arguments(X, y)) X = {name: _own_axes(block) for name, block in X.items()} # nothing the caller renames later reaches the fit self._record_data_shape(X, y) # A column with nothing observed is left out, with a warning, as across the family (#1098) self._unobserved_columns = {name: unobserved_columns(X[name], f'X["{name}"]') for name in self.block_names_} self._unobserved_targets = unobserved_columns(y, "Y") algo = self._resolve_algorithm(X, y) # The resolved settings reach the loop. They used to be computed here and dropped, # so the caller's loop settings were validated and then ignored (#588). settings = resolve_loop_settings( tol=self.tol, max_iter=self.max_iter, missing_data_settings=self.missing_data_settings, estimator_name="MBPLS", ) x_blocks_pp, y_pp = self._preprocess(X, y) # Nothing to explain leaves every weight 0, so a new row would have no score: refused, as PLS does (#1075) check_y_varies(y_pp) # Nothing to explain Y by leaves every weight 0 too, and a new row with no score (#1128), in the family's words check_x_varies([X[name] for name in self.block_names_], explains_y=True) # Named once the blocks are not refused, so an X or a Y with no variance at all gets that error alone for name in self.block_names_: constant_columns(X[name], f'X["{name}"]', self) constant_columns(y, "Y", self) self.block_informative_widths_: dict[str, int] = informative_widths(x_blocks_pp) context = _MBPLSLoopContext( algo=algo, block_names=self.block_names_, # Algorithmic block weighting: X_b / sqrt(K_b), K_b counting the columns that vary (#913) sqrt_kb=self._block_scale(), # A row with nothing observed in a block has no score *for that block*; it still has a # super score, estimated from the blocks it does have. block_has_data={name: _rows_with_data(values) for name, values in x_blocks_pp.items()}, tol=float(settings["md_tol"]), max_iter=int(settings["md_max_iter"]), ) work = _MBPLSArrays.allocate(self.block_widths_, self.n_samples_, self.n_targets_, self.n_components_) initial = _InitialSumsOfSquares.of(x_blocks_pp, y_pp) x_def = {name: values.copy() for name, values in x_blocks_pp.items()} y_def = y_pp.copy() y_size = float(np.sqrt(ssq(y_def))) # no variance left is judged against Y's size before the first component reach = y_reach(list(x_def.values()), y_def) exhausted = False for a in range(self.n_components_): start = time.time() check_variance_left("Y", y_def, a, y_size) # a Y fitted exactly is refused, as PLS refuses it (#1128) exhausted = exhausted or y_is_exhausted("MBPLS", a, list(x_def.values()), y_def, reach) if exhausted: component = _component_along_x(x_def, y_def, context) else: component = _fit_one_component(x_def, y_def, context) x_def, y_def, loadings = _deflate(x_def, y_def, component, context) work.record_component(a, component, loadings, context) work.record_explained_variation(a, x_def, y_def, initial, context) work.timing[a] = time.time() - start self._store_latent_frames(work) self._report_convergence(work) self._store_explained_variation(work) self._store_diagnostics(work) return self
def _block_scale(self) -> dict[str, float]: """Return what each block is divided by: the square root of its count of varying columns (#913). A model fitted before that count was kept divides by its full width, as it was fitted. """ widths = getattr(self, "block_informative_widths_", self.block_widths_) return {name: float(np.sqrt(widths[name])) for name in self.block_names_} def _record_data_shape(self, X: dict[str, pd.DataFrame], y: pd.DataFrame) -> None: """Record the block names, widths, row and column labels, and counts this fit is over.""" self.block_names_: list[str] = list(X.keys()) first = X[self.block_names_[0]] self.block_widths_: dict[str, int] = {name: int(X[name].shape[1]) for name in self.block_names_} self._sample_index = first.index self._y_columns = y.columns self._block_columns: dict[str, pd.Index] = {name: X[name].columns for name in self.block_names_} self.n_samples_ = int(first.shape[0]) self.n_targets_ = int(y.shape[1]) self.n_features_in_ = int(sum(self.block_widths_.values())) # feature_names_in_: sklearn convention (#392). Flat concatenation of # all blocks' column names in block-iteration order. Lets # ``Pipeline.get_feature_names_out`` and SHAP / eli5 / model-card # tooling introspect a multiblock fit through the same surface as a # single-block estimator. self.feature_names_in_ = np.concatenate([self._block_columns[name].to_numpy() for name in self.block_names_]) # Fitted mirror of the constructor parameter, so shared helpers (the # T2 limit mixin, spe_limit, the plot pre-checks) read one resolved # attribute across PCA / PLS / MBPCA / MBPLS (#505). self.n_components_ = components_to_fit(self.n_components, self.n_samples_, self.n_features_in_) def _resolve_algorithm(self, X: dict[str, pd.DataFrame], y: pd.DataFrame) -> str: """Decide which algorithm this fit runs, recording whether the data has gaps.""" self.has_missing_data_ = any(np.any(X[name].isna().values) for name in self.block_names_) or bool( np.any(y.isna().values) ) algo = self.algorithm.lower() if algo not in self._valid_algorithms: raise ValueError( f"Algorithm '{self.algorithm}' is not recognised. Must be one of {self._valid_algorithms}." ) if algo == "auto": algo = "nipals" if self.has_missing_data_ else "dense" if algo == "dense" and self.has_missing_data_: raise ValueError("Algorithm 'dense' cannot handle missing data. Use 'nipals' or 'auto' instead.") self.algorithm_ = algo return algo def _preprocess(self, X: dict[str, pd.DataFrame], y: pd.DataFrame) -> tuple[dict[str, np.ndarray], np.ndarray]: """Centre and scale each X-block and Y independently, and return the numpy values.""" self.preproc_: dict[str, MCUVScaler] = {name: MCUVScaler().fit(X[name]) for name in self.block_names_} self.y_preproc_ = MCUVScaler().fit(y) x_blocks_pp = {name: self.preproc_[name].transform(X[name]).to_numpy() for name in self.block_names_} return x_blocks_pp, self.y_preproc_.transform(y).to_numpy() def _store_latent_frames(self, work: _MBPLSArrays) -> None: """Wrap the fitted scores, weights and loadings in pandas, and predict the fitted rows.""" component_names = list(range(1, self.n_components_ + 1)) self.super_scores_ = pd.DataFrame(work.super_scores, index=self._sample_index, columns=component_names) self.super_y_scores_ = pd.DataFrame(work.super_y_scores, index=self._sample_index, columns=component_names) self.super_weights_ = pd.DataFrame(work.super_weights, index=self.block_names_, columns=component_names) self.super_y_loadings_ = pd.DataFrame(work.super_y_loadings, index=self._y_columns, columns=component_names) self.block_scores_ = { name: pd.DataFrame(work.block_scores[name], index=self._sample_index, columns=component_names) for name in self.block_names_ } self.block_weights_ = { name: pd.DataFrame(work.block_weights[name], index=self._block_columns[name], columns=component_names) for name in self.block_names_ } self.block_loadings_ = { name: pd.DataFrame(work.block_loadings[name], index=self._block_columns[name], columns=component_names) for name in self.block_names_ } # In-sample predictions on the original Y scale self.predictions_ = self._in_y_units(work.super_scores @ work.super_y_loadings.T, self._sample_index) # fit() has at least two rows: each block's MCUVScaler refuses fewer self.explained_variance_ = np.diag(work.super_scores.T @ work.super_scores) / (self.n_samples_ - 1) self.scaling_factor_for_super_scores_ = pd.Series( np.sqrt(self.explained_variance_), index=component_names, name="Standard deviation per super-score" ) def _report_convergence(self, work: _MBPLSArrays) -> None: """Record how each component's iteration went, and warn about any that ran out of steps.""" converged = work.converged self.fitting_info_ = {"timing": work.timing, "iterations": work.iterations, "converged": converged} logger.debug("MBPLS (%s): iterations per component = %s", self.algorithm_, work.iterations.tolist()) if not np.all(converged): failed = [int(i + 1) for i, ok in enumerate(converged) if not ok] warnings.warn( f"MBPLS NIPALS did not converge within max_iter={self.max_iter} for " f"component(s) {failed}; results for those components may be unreliable.", SpecificationWarning, stacklevel=user_stacklevel(), ) def _store_explained_variation(self, work: _MBPLSArrays) -> None: """Wrap the R² bookkeeping in pandas, and derive the per-block and super VIP from it.""" component_names = list(range(1, self.n_components_ + 1)) r2_x_block_per_a = np.diff(work.r2_x_block_cum, prepend=0.0) r2_y_per_a = np.diff(work.r2_y_cum, prepend=0.0) self.r2_x_per_block_cumulative_ = pd.DataFrame( work.r2_x_block_cum, index=self.block_names_, columns=component_names ) self.r2_x_per_block_per_component_ = pd.DataFrame( r2_x_block_per_a, index=self.block_names_, columns=component_names ) self.r2_x_per_variable_ = { name: pd.DataFrame(work.r2_x_var_cum[name], index=self._block_columns[name], columns=component_names) for name in self.block_names_ } self.r2_y_cumulative_ = pd.Series(work.r2_y_cum, index=component_names, name="Cumulative R²Y") self.r2_y_per_component_ = pd.Series(r2_y_per_a, index=component_names, name="R²Y per component") self.r2_y_per_variable_ = pd.DataFrame(work.r2_y_var_cum, index=self._y_columns, columns=component_names) # Per-block VIP_jb = sqrt(K_b * sum_a(r2_x_block_a * w_b[j,a]^2) / sum_a r2_x_block_a), K_b counting the # columns that vary: a constant column has zero weight, so the varying ones' VIP^2 average 1. self.block_vip_: dict[str, pd.Series] = {} for b_idx, name in enumerate(self.block_names_): r2 = r2_x_block_per_a[b_idx, :] if np.sum(r2) > 0: w = self.block_weights_[name].values # (K_b, A) vip_b = np.sqrt(self.block_informative_widths_[name] * np.sum(r2 * w**2, axis=1) / np.sum(r2)) else: vip_b = np.zeros(self.block_widths_[name]) self.block_vip_[name] = pd.Series(vip_b, index=self._block_columns[name], name=f"VIP[{name}]") # Super VIP_b = sqrt(B * sum_a(r2_y_a * w_super[b,a]^2) / sum_a r2_y_a). fit refuses a Y that X cannot # explain, so the first component explains some of it and the sum is above 0, as PLS's vip takes it. n_blocks = len(self.block_names_) ws = self.super_weights_.values # (B, A) super_vip = np.sqrt(n_blocks * np.sum(r2_y_per_a * ws**2, axis=1) / np.sum(r2_y_per_a)) self.super_vip_ = pd.Series(super_vip, index=self.block_names_, name="Super VIP") def _store_diagnostics(self, work: _MBPLSArrays) -> None: """Wrap the per-block SPE, and accumulate the per-block and super Hotelling's T².""" component_names = list(range(1, self.n_components_ + 1)) self.block_spe_ = { name: pd.DataFrame(work.block_spe[name], index=self._sample_index, columns=component_names) for name in self.block_names_ } # Cumulative T^2 from block scores and super scores, each scaled by its second moment about zero self.block_hotellings_t2_ = { name: pd.DataFrame( cumulative_block_t2(self.block_scores_[name].values), index=self._sample_index, columns=component_names ) for name in self.block_names_ } # A super score with no spread carries no T², by the rule PCA and PLS use (#1026) super_score_var = _t2_score_sd(np.sqrt(self.explained_variance_)) ** 2 super_t2 = np.cumsum((work.super_scores**2) / super_score_var, axis=1) self.super_hotellings_t2_ = pd.DataFrame(super_t2, index=self._sample_index, columns=component_names)
[docs] def block_spe_limit(self, block: str, conf_level: float = 0.95) -> float: """SPE limit for one X-block using the Nomikos & MacGregor chi-square approximation. Operates on the same scale as ``block_spe_[block]`` (sqrt of row sum of squares), so the value can be drawn directly on a SPE plot. """ check_is_fitted(self, "block_spe_") if block not in self.block_spe_: raise KeyError(f"Unknown block '{block}'. Known blocks: {list(self.block_spe_)}.") # A row with nothing observed in the block has no SPE there (NaN), and no part in its limit. return spe_calculation(self.block_spe_[block].iloc[:, -1].dropna().to_numpy(), conf_level=conf_level)
[docs] def super_spe_limit(self, conf_level: float = 0.95) -> float: """SPE limit for the merged super-block (sum of per-block SPE squared). A block a row has nothing observed in leaves no residual in that row: its NaN SPE counts as 0 in the sum. """ check_is_fitted(self, "block_spe_") spe = np.column_stack([self.block_spe_[name].iloc[:, -1].to_numpy() for name in self.block_names_]) return spe_calculation(np.sqrt(np.nansum(spe**2, axis=1)), conf_level=conf_level)
[docs] def spe_contributions(self, X: dict[str, pd.DataFrame]) -> dict[str, pd.DataFrame]: """Per-variable squared residuals for each X-block (SPE contributions). For each new observation and each X-block, reconstruct the block as ``T_super @ P_b^T`` (matching the deflation step used during fit) and return the squared per-variable residuals. Useful for fault diagnosis: the variable with the largest contribution is the most likely culprit for a high SPE. Returns ------- dict[str, pd.DataFrame] One DataFrame per block, shape ``(n_samples, K_b)``. Values are preprocessed-scale squared residuals (centred and scaled inside the model). Sum across columns equals ``block_spe_[b].iloc[:, -1] ** 2``. """ check_is_fitted(self, "block_loadings_") if not isinstance(X, dict): raise TypeError("X must be a dict[str, pd.DataFrame].") missing = set(self.block_names_) - set(X) if missing: raise ValueError(f"Missing X-blocks: {sorted(missing)}.") result = self._project(X) super_scores = result.super_scores.values # (N, A) out: dict[str, pd.DataFrame] = {} sample_index = next(iter(result.block_scores.values())).index for name in self.block_names_: block = X[name] if not isinstance(block, pd.DataFrame): block = pd.DataFrame(block, columns=self._block_columns[name]) x_pp = self._scaled_block(name, block) x_hat = super_scores @ self.block_loadings_[name].values.T # A column the fit left out is read as missing, NaN, but contributes 0, as in MBPCA, PCA and PLS (#1114) residuals_sq = np.where(self._left_out(name), 0.0, (x_pp - x_hat) ** 2) out[name] = pd.DataFrame(residuals_sq, index=sample_index, columns=self._block_columns[name]) return out
def _deflated_blocks(self, X: dict[str, pd.DataFrame], component: int) -> tuple[dict[str, np.ndarray], pd.Index]: """Preprocessed blocks, deflated through the first ``component - 1`` components. The super score at component *a* is formed from the data that remain after the earlier components have been removed, so a decomposition of that score has to start from the same deflated data. """ if not isinstance(X, dict): raise TypeError("X must be a dict[str, pd.DataFrame].") missing = set(self.block_names_) - set(X) if missing: raise ValueError(f"Missing X-blocks: {sorted(missing)}.") a_max = self.n_components_ if not (1 <= int(component) <= a_max): msg = f"component must be a 1-based index within 1..{a_max}, got {component}." raise ValueError(msg) sample_index: pd.Index | None = None x_def: dict[str, np.ndarray] = {} for name in self.block_names_: block = X[name] if not isinstance(block, pd.DataFrame): block = pd.DataFrame(block, columns=self._block_columns[name]) if sample_index is None: sample_index = block.index x_def[name] = self._scaled_block(name, block) sqrt_kb = self._block_scale() for a in range(int(component) - 1): w_s = self.super_weights_.values[:, a] weights = {name: self.block_weights_[name].values[:, a] for name in self.block_names_} t_super = np.nan_to_num( _pooled_super_score( x_def, _stacked_super_weights(weights, w_s, sqrt_kb, self.block_names_), self.block_names_ ) ) for name in self.block_names_: p_b = self.block_loadings_[name].values[:, a] x_def[name] = x_def[name] - np.outer(t_super, p_b) assert sample_index is not None return x_def, sample_index
[docs] def score_contributions( self, X: dict[str, pd.DataFrame], component: int = 1, scaling: str = "none", ) -> dict[str, pd.DataFrame]: r"""Per-block per-variable contributions to a super-score. The multi-block analogue of :meth:`PLS.score_contributions`. A super score is a weighted sum of the (deflated, preprocessed) variables across every block, so it splits exactly into one term per variable: .. math:: c_{b,ij}^{(a)} = \tilde{x}_{b,ij}^{(a)}\, \frac{w_b[j, a]\, w_\mathrm{super}[b, a]}{\sqrt{K_b}}, \qquad \sum_b \sum_j c_{b,ij}^{(a)} = t_{\mathrm{super},ia}, where :math:`\tilde{x}^{(a)}` is the block data deflated through the first :math:`a-1` components, which is what the super score at component :math:`a` is actually formed from. A row with missing cells is scored over the cells it has, as in :meth:`diagnose`: its super score divides by the weights' sum of squares over those cells, and so does each of its contributions, which then still add up to it (#1144). They are NaN at the missing cells, which add nothing to the sum. Parameters ---------- X : dict[str, pd.DataFrame] Raw (un-preprocessed) X-blocks, keyed by block name, exactly as passed to :meth:`fit`. The stored per-block preprocessing is applied internally. component : int, default=1 **1-based** component index whose super score is decomposed. scaling : {"none", "maximum", "within"}, default="none" Presentation scaling, as for :meth:`PLS.score_contributions`. Under ``"none"`` the contributions sum across all blocks to the super score. ``"maximum"`` divides by the largest absolute contribution over every block; ``"within"`` divides each observation by the total absolute contribution it accumulates across every block, so both scalings are taken over the blocks jointly rather than one block at a time. Returns ------- dict[str, pd.DataFrame] One frame per X-block, of shape (n_samples, K_b). Examples -------- >>> mbpls = MBPLS(n_components=2).fit(blocks, Y) >>> contrib = mbpls.score_contributions(blocks, component=1) >>> sum(frame.sum(axis=1) for frame in contrib.values()) # super score 1 """ check_is_fitted(self, "block_weights_") deflated, sample_index = self._deflated_blocks(X, component) a = int(component) - 1 sqrt_kb = self._block_scale() weights = {name: self.block_weights_[name].values[:, a] for name in self.block_names_} stacked = _stacked_super_weights(weights, self.super_weights_.values[:, a], sqrt_kb, self.block_names_) # The pooled super score divides by g'g over the row's observed cells and multiplies by g'g, so each # term takes that ratio too: 1 on a complete row, and what makes a row with a gap add up (#1144). row_scale = float(stacked @ stacked) / _pooled_divisor(deflated, stacked, self.block_names_) raw: dict[str, np.ndarray] = {} for b_idx, name in enumerate(self.block_names_): w_s = float(self.super_weights_.values[b_idx, a]) # A column the fit left out is read as missing, NaN, but contributes 0, as in MBPCA, PCA and PLS (#1114) terms = deflated[name] * (weights[name] * w_s / sqrt_kb[name]) * row_scale[:, np.newaxis] raw[name] = np.where(self._left_out(name), 0.0, terms) raw = _scale_block_contributions(raw, scaling) return { name: pd.DataFrame(values, index=sample_index, columns=self._block_columns[name]) for name, values in raw.items() }
[docs] def group_contributions( self, X: dict[str, pd.DataFrame], group: Sequence, reference: Sequence | None = None, component: int = 1, ) -> dict[str, pd.Series]: """Per-block per-variable contributions to a group's average super score. The multi-block analogue of :meth:`PLS.group_contributions`. See that method for the definition; the only difference is that the result is returned one Series per X-block, and the sum over every block equals the group's average super score (or the difference between the two groups' average super scores when ``reference`` is given). """ per_block = self.score_contributions(X, component=component) out: dict[str, pd.Series] = {} for name, contributions in per_block.items(): # A missing cell adds nothing to its row's super score, so it adds nothing to the mean (#1144), # where skipping its NaN averaged the column over the other rows alone. frame = contributions.fillna(0.0) deviation = _select_rows(frame, group, "group").mean(axis=0) if reference is not None: deviation = deviation - _select_rows(frame, reference, "reference").mean(axis=0) out[name] = pd.Series(deviation, name=f"group_contributions[{name}]") return out
[docs] def super_score_plot(self, pc_horiz: int = 1, pc_vert: int = 2) -> go.Figure: """Scatter plot of super-scores for two components.""" check_is_fitted(self, "super_scores_") a_max = self.n_components_ if not (1 <= pc_horiz <= a_max and 1 <= pc_vert <= a_max): raise ValueError(f"pc_horiz and pc_vert must be in 1..{a_max}.") x = self.super_scores_[pc_horiz].to_numpy() y = self.super_scores_[pc_vert].to_numpy() labels = [str(i) for i in self.super_scores_.index] fig = go.Figure( data=[ go.Scatter( x=x, y=y, mode="markers+text", text=labels, textposition="top center", name="Super-scores", ) ] ) fig.update_layout( xaxis_title=f"t_super[{pc_horiz}]", yaxis_title=f"t_super[{pc_vert}]", title=f"MBPLS super-score plot: PC{pc_horiz} vs PC{pc_vert}", ) return fig
[docs] def super_weights_bar_plot(self, component: int = 1) -> go.Figure: """Bar plot of super-weights ``w_super`` for a single component.""" check_is_fitted(self, "super_weights_") a_max = self.n_components_ if not (1 <= component <= a_max): raise ValueError(f"component must be in 1..{a_max}.") weights = self.super_weights_[component] fig = go.Figure(data=[go.Bar(x=list(weights.index), y=weights.to_numpy(), name=f"w_super[{component}]")]) fig.update_layout( xaxis_title="Block", yaxis_title=f"w_super[{component}]", title=f"MBPLS super-weights, component {component}", ) return fig
[docs] def predictions_vs_observed_plot(self, y_observed: pd.DataFrame, variable: str | None = None) -> go.Figure: """Scatter plot of predicted vs observed Y, with y=x reference and RMSEE annotation. Parameters ---------- y_observed : pd.DataFrame The observed Y on the original scale, same columns as the training Y. variable : str or None, default=None If given, plot only that Y-variable. If ``None``, plot the first one. """ check_is_fitted(self, "predictions_") if variable is None: variable = str(self.predictions_.columns[0]) if variable not in self.predictions_.columns: raise ValueError(f"Unknown Y-variable '{variable}'. Known: {list(self.predictions_.columns)}.") observed = pd.Series(y_observed[variable].to_numpy(dtype=float)) # pd.NA as NaN predicted = pd.Series(self.predictions_[variable].to_numpy()) # Over the observed cells, as the fit is: a missing Y cell made the RMSEE NaN. rmsee = float(np.sqrt(np.nanmean((observed.to_numpy() - predicted.to_numpy()) ** 2))) lo = float(min(observed.min(), predicted.min())) hi = float(max(observed.max(), predicted.max())) pad = 0.05 * (hi - lo) if hi > lo else 1.0 fig = go.Figure( data=[ go.Scatter(x=observed, y=predicted, mode="markers", name="Predicted vs observed"), go.Scatter( x=[lo - pad, hi + pad], y=[lo - pad, hi + pad], mode="lines", line={"color": REFERENCE_LINE_COLOR, "dash": "dash"}, name="y = x", ), ] ) fig.add_annotation( x=lo + 0.05 * (hi - lo), y=hi - 0.05 * (hi - lo), text=f"RMSEE = {rmsee:.4g}", showarrow=False, ) fig.update_layout( xaxis_title=f"Observed: {variable}", yaxis_title=f"Predicted: {variable}", title=f"Predicted vs observed for {variable}", ) return fig
[docs] def display_results(self, show_cumulative: bool = True) -> str: """Format a short text summary of per-block R²X, overall R²Y, iterations and timing.""" check_is_fitted(self, "super_scores_") rows: list[str] = [] rows.append(f"MBPLS model: {self.n_components_} component(s), {len(self.block_names_)} X-block(s)") src = self.r2_x_per_block_cumulative_ if show_cumulative else self.r2_x_per_block_per_component_ r2y_src = self.r2_y_cumulative_ if show_cumulative else self.r2_y_per_component_ header = ["PC", *(f"R²X[{name}]" for name in self.block_names_), "R²Y"] body = [ [str(a + 1), *(f"{src.loc[name].iloc[a]:.4f}" for name in self.block_names_), f"{r2y_src.iloc[a]:.4f}"] for a in range(self.n_components_) ] rows.extend(text_table(header, body)) rows.append("") rows.append(f" Iterations per PC: {self.fitting_info_['iterations'].tolist()}") rows.append(f" Time per PC (ms): {[round(float(t * 1000), 1) for t in self.fitting_info_['timing']]}") return "\n".join(rows)
[docs] def transform(self, X: dict[str, pd.DataFrame]) -> pd.DataFrame: """Project new data to super-scores using the fitted model.""" check_is_fitted(self, "super_weights_") return self._project(X).super_scores
[docs] def diagnose(self, X: dict[str, pd.DataFrame]) -> Bunch: """Project new data and return the full diagnostics Bunch. Returns a :class:`sklearn.utils.Bunch` with fields ``super_scores`` (DataFrame, n_samples x n_components), ``block_scores`` (dict[str, DataFrame]), ``predictions`` (DataFrame on original Y scale), ``block_spe`` (dict[str, Series], per-block SPE of the new observations) and ``cumulative_hotellings_t2`` (DataFrame, n_samples x n_components: column ``a`` holds the T² over the first ``a`` components, as in ``super_hotellings_t2_``; every ``diagnose`` of the family returns it in this shape, #983). A row with nothing observed in a block has NaN for its block scores and its block SPE there, as in ``block_scores_`` and ``block_spe_``. ``hotellings_t2``, the Series of the full model's T², is deprecated since 2.4.0 and is removed in 3.0; it is ``cumulative_hotellings_t2.iloc[:, -1]``, and reading it warns. The rename (since 1.38.4, #395) matches :meth:`PLS.diagnose` and PCA.diagnose. The deprecated ``predict`` alias, which returned this Bunch, was removed in 2.0; :meth:`predict` now returns the predictions only. """ check_is_fitted(self, "super_weights_") return self._project(X)
[docs] def predict(self, X: dict[str, pd.DataFrame]) -> pd.DataFrame: """Predict Y for new observations, on its original scale. Returns the predictions only, so the model meets scikit-learn's regressor contract (:meth:`score`, :func:`~sklearn.model_selection.cross_val_predict`, a :class:`~sklearn.pipeline.Pipeline` step), as :meth:`PLS.predict` does. For the super scores, the block scores, the block SPE and Hotelling's T² as well, see :meth:`diagnose`. Parameters ---------- X : dict[str, pd.DataFrame] The X-blocks of the new observations, under the names they were fitted with. Returns ------- pd.DataFrame of shape (n_samples, n_targets) The predicted Y, indexed by the rows of ``X`` and labelled with the fitted Y columns: ``diagnose(X).predictions``. """ check_is_fitted(self, "super_weights_") return self._project(X).predictions
[docs] def score(self, X: dict[str, pd.DataFrame], y: pd.DataFrame, sample_weight: np.ndarray | None = None) -> float: """Return the R² of :meth:`predict` on ``X`` against ``y``. Parameters ---------- X : dict[str, pd.DataFrame] The X-blocks of the observations. y : pd.DataFrame of shape (n_samples, n_targets) Their observed Y. sample_weight : np.ndarray of shape (n_samples,) or None Weights of the observations. Returns ------- float R² of the predictions, averaged over the Y columns with equal weights, as :meth:`PLS.score` gives it. """ return float(r2_score(y, self.predict(X), sample_weight=sample_weight))
[docs] @classmethod def select_n_components( # noqa: PLR0915 cls, X: dict[str, pd.DataFrame], y: pd.DataFrame, *, max_components: int | None = None, cv: int | BaseCrossValidator = 5, n_repeats: int | None = None, random_state: int | np.random.Generator | None = None, selection_rule: SelectionRule = "1se", **mbpls_kwargs, ) -> Bunch: """Select the number of multi-block PLS components by cross-validation. Whole rows are held out. The super score of a held-out row is computed from its X-blocks alone and its Y is what the model predicts, so the value being predicted never enters its own prediction. That is the same argument that makes row-wise cross-validation sound for a single-block :meth:`PLS.select_n_components`, and it is unaffected by there being several X-blocks. Each block is centred and scaled inside :meth:`fit`, on the training rows only, so the fold statistics never see the held-out rows. One model is fitted per fold **and** per component count, because the hierarchical NIPALS deflation means an ``a``-component model is not recoverable from an ``A``-component one. The cost is ``cv * n_repeats * max_components`` fits. Parameters ---------- X : dict[str, pd.DataFrame] X-blocks, keyed by block name, all sharing ``y``'s row index. y : pd.DataFrame Y-block, one row per observation. max_components : int, optional Largest component count to evaluate. Defaults to the largest the smallest training fold supports, capped at the total width of the X-blocks. cv : int or sklearn CV splitter, default 5 An integer is used as the ``n_splits`` of a shuffled :class:`~sklearn.model_selection.KFold`, or of a :class:`~sklearn.model_selection.RepeatedKFold` when ``n_repeats > 1``. A splitter object is used as given, and ``n_repeats`` is then ignored. n_repeats : int, optional How many times to repeat the split with a fresh shuffle. Resolved to 10 when ``cv`` is an integer; pass 1 to disable repeats. random_state : int, numpy.random.Generator or None, optional Seed for the shuffling; a Generator gives its next draw of an int, as :meth:`PLS.select_n_components` takes it. Ignored when ``cv`` is a splitter. selection_rule : {"1se", "min", "q2_increment"}, default "1se" How ``n_components`` is chosen from the curve. See :data:`~process_improve.multivariate._common.SelectionRule`. ``"randomization"`` is not offered here. **mbpls_kwargs Passed to every :class:`MBPLS` fitted, for instance ``tol`` or ``algorithm``. Returns ------- sklearn.utils.Bunch With ``n_components`` (int), ``rmsecv`` and ``se_rmsecv`` (Series indexed ``1..A``), ``per_fold_rmsecv`` (DataFrame, components by fold), ``press`` (Series), ``r2y_validated`` (DataFrame with one column per target, plus ``"total"`` on the original Y scale and ``"scaled_total"`` with every target weighted equally), ``cv_predictions`` (DataFrame of the held-out predictions of the recommended model, averaged over repeats), ``selection_rule``, and ``n_splits`` (the per-repeat fold count: ``cv`` when it was given as an integer, else the number of splits produced by the supplied splitter). Raises ------ ValueError If ``X`` is not a non-empty dict of frames sharing ``y``'s index, or if no component count could be evaluated. Examples -------- >>> import numpy as np, pandas as pd >>> from process_improve.multivariate.methods import MBPLS >>> rng = np.random.default_rng(0) >>> t = rng.standard_normal((40, 2)) >>> blocks = { ... "a": pd.DataFrame(t @ rng.standard_normal((2, 5)) + rng.standard_normal((40, 5)) * 0.3), ... "b": pd.DataFrame(t @ rng.standard_normal((2, 4)) + rng.standard_normal((40, 4)) * 0.3), ... } >>> Y = pd.DataFrame(t @ rng.standard_normal((2, 2)) + rng.standard_normal((40, 2)) * 0.3) >>> out = MBPLS.select_n_components(blocks, Y, max_components=3, cv=5, n_repeats=2, random_state=0) >>> 1 <= out.n_components <= 3 True """ if not isinstance(X, dict): raise TypeError(f"X must be a dict of DataFrames, one per block; got {type(X).__name__}.") if not X: raise ValueError("X must hold at least one block.") y = pd.DataFrame(y) for name, block in X.items(): if not isinstance(block, pd.DataFrame): raise TypeError(f"Block {name!r} must be a pandas DataFrame; got {type(block).__name__}.") if len(block) != len(y): raise ValueError(f"Block {name!r} has {len(block)} rows; y has {len(y)}.") n_samples = len(y) # A column with nothing observed is left out of every fold model, so it adds no component (#1114). total_width = sum(int(block.notna().any().sum()) for block in X.values()) if isinstance(cv, int): # One repeat of a RepeatedKFold is the shuffled KFold the docstring names: the same # random_state draws the same folds. check_at_least_one("n_repeats", n_repeats) repeats = 10 if n_repeats is None else int(n_repeats) seed = sklearn_random_state(random_state) # RepeatedKFold refuses a Generator (#1128) splitter: BaseCrossValidator = RepeatedKFold(n_splits=cv, n_repeats=repeats, random_state=seed) n_splits = cv else: splitter, n_splits = cv, cv.get_n_splits(y) check_at_least_one("max_components", max_components) splits = list(splitter.split(y)) smallest_train = min(len(train) for train, _ in splits) # At least one component is always evaluated: a fold too small to support more # still supports one, and reporting nothing would hide that from the caller. ceiling = max(1, min(smallest_train - 1, total_width)) A = ceiling if max_components is None else min(int(max_components), ceiling) component_index = pd.Index(range(1, A + 1), name="n_components") targets = list(y.columns) # A row with nothing observed in any block has no prediction, and is left out of PRESS and its # reference, as PLS.select_n_components leaves it out (#1114). has_x = np.any([_rows_with_data(block.to_numpy(dtype=float)) for block in X.values()], axis=0) values = np.where(has_x[:, np.newaxis], y.to_numpy(dtype=float), np.nan) press = np.zeros((A, len(targets))) per_fold = np.full((A, len(splits)), np.nan) # Held-out predictions are gathered by row position, as rows may share a label. gathered: dict[int, list[pd.DataFrame]] = {a: [] for a in component_index} tested = np.zeros(n_samples) # how often each row is held out, which need not be uniform for fold, (train, test) in enumerate(splits): tested[test] += 1.0 train_blocks = {name: block.iloc[train] for name, block in X.items()} test_blocks = {name: block.iloc[test] for name, block in X.items()} for a in component_index: with warnings.catch_warnings(): warnings.simplefilter("ignore", SpecificationWarning) model = cls(n_components=a, **mbpls_kwargs).fit(train_blocks, y.iloc[train]) predicted = model.predict(test_blocks).to_numpy() residual = values[test] - predicted press[a - 1] += np.nansum(residual**2, axis=0) per_fold[a - 1, fold] = float(np.sqrt(np.nanmean(residual**2))) gathered[a].append(pd.DataFrame(predicted, index=test, columns=targets)) # Weight the "predict the mean" reference by the same per-row coverage that # built PRESS, so each row counts in the denominator exactly as often as it # counted in the numerator. A splitter that tests some rows more than others, # or not at all, is then handled exactly rather than by a flat repeat count. # This is what PLS.select_n_components does, and both sides are on the # original Y scale, so the two are directly comparable. A target with no spread has # no R²: dividing by NaN in place of 0 gives NaN without a warning. centred_sq = (values - np.nanmean(values, axis=0)) ** 2 tss = np.nansum(tested[:, None] * centred_sq, axis=0) per_target = 1.0 - press / np.where(tss > 0, tss, np.nan) total = 1.0 - press.sum(axis=1) / (tss.sum() if tss.sum() > 0 else np.nan) n_predicted = float(tested.sum()) rmsecv = pd.Series( np.sqrt(press.sum(axis=1) / max(n_predicted * len(targets), 1.0)), index=component_index, name="RMSECV" ) # A component with fewer than two folds has no spread (NaN), and nanstd warns of it. with warnings.catch_warnings(): warnings.simplefilter("ignore", RuntimeWarning) # pragma: no mutate - only RuntimeWarnings arise here se = np.nanstd(per_fold, axis=1, ddof=1) / np.sqrt(np.sum(~np.isnan(per_fold), axis=1)) se_rmsecv = pd.Series(se, index=component_index, name="SE of RMSECV") r2y_validated = pd.DataFrame( np.column_stack([per_target, total, _equal_weight_r2_total(per_target)]), index=component_index, columns=[*targets, "total", "scaled_total"], ) recommended = _select_n_components( selection_rule, mean_error=rmsecv.to_numpy(), se_error=se_rmsecv.to_numpy(), q2_cumulative=r2y_validated["total"].to_numpy(), ) held_out = pd.concat(gathered[recommended]).groupby(level=0).mean().reindex(range(n_samples)).set_axis(y.index) return Bunch( n_components=int(recommended), rmsecv=rmsecv, se_rmsecv=se_rmsecv, per_fold_rmsecv=pd.DataFrame( per_fold, index=component_index, columns=[f"fold_{i + 1}" for i in range(len(splits))] ), press=pd.Series(press.sum(axis=1), index=component_index, name="PRESS"), r2y_validated=r2y_validated, cv_predictions=held_out, selection_rule=selection_rule, n_splits=n_splits, )
def _scaled_block(self, name: str, block: pd.DataFrame) -> np.ndarray: """Centre and scale one block of new rows as the fit did. A column the fit left out, having no observed value (#1098), is read as missing, as every cell of it was in the fit: a value there adds nothing to a score or an SPE, and a row has nothing observed in the block unless it has a value in one of the block's other columns. """ values = self.preproc_[name].transform(block).to_numpy() # One memory layout, whatever pandas hands over. A row-major and a column-major block take # different BLAS kernels, which round differently, so a row's scores would depend on how # its DataFrame was built (pandas 2.3 with numpy 2.2, #1148). return np.ascontiguousarray(np.where(self._left_out(name), np.nan, values)) def _left_out(self, name: str) -> np.ndarray | bool: """Which columns of a block the fit left out (#1098); a model pickled before then left none out.""" return getattr(self, "_unobserved_columns", {}).get( name, False, # pragma: no mutate - np.where reads a condition of None as False ) def _in_y_units(self, scaled: np.ndarray, index: pd.Index) -> pd.DataFrame: """Return predictions in the scaled space on Y's original scale, labelled with its columns. A response with no observed value was left out of the fit (#1098), and has no prediction: NaN. """ predictions = self.y_preproc_.inverse_transform(scaled) predictions.index = index return predictions.mask(np.broadcast_to(getattr(self, "_unobserved_targets", False), predictions.shape)) def _project(self, X: dict[str, pd.DataFrame]) -> Bunch: if not isinstance(X, dict): raise TypeError("X must be a dict[str, pd.DataFrame].") missing = set(self.block_names_) - set(X) if missing: raise ValueError(f"Missing X-blocks for prediction: {sorted(missing)}.") # Preprocess each block. Each deflation below binds a new array, so the blocks are not copied. x_def: dict[str, np.ndarray] = {} sample_index: pd.Index | None = None for name in self.block_names_: block = X[name] if not isinstance(block, pd.DataFrame): block = pd.DataFrame(block, columns=self._block_columns[name]) if block.shape[1] != self.block_widths_[name]: raise ValueError(f"Block '{name}' must have {self.block_widths_[name]} columns; got {block.shape[1]}.") x_def[name] = self._scaled_block(name, block) if sample_index is None: sample_index = block.index n_components = self.n_components_ n_new = next(iter(x_def.values())).shape[0] sqrt_kb = self._block_scale() super_scores = np.zeros((n_new, n_components)) block_scores: dict[str, np.ndarray] = {name: np.zeros((n_new, n_components)) for name in self.block_names_} # A row with nothing observed in a block has no score there, nor an SPE, as in fit. block_has_data = {name: _rows_with_data(x_def[name]) for name in self.block_names_} for a in range(n_components): weights = {} for name in self.block_names_: w_b = self.block_weights_[name].values[:, a] weights[name] = w_b t_b = quick_regress(x_def[name], w_b[:, np.newaxis], per="row").flatten() / sqrt_kb[name] block_scores[name][:, a] = np.where( block_has_data[name], t_b, np.nan, # pragma: no mutate - None reads as NaN in a float array ) w_s = self.super_weights_.values[:, a] # The same pooled regression the fit uses, so a projected score matches a fitted one. t_super = _pooled_super_score( x_def, _stacked_super_weights(weights, w_s, sqrt_kb, self.block_names_), self.block_names_ ) super_scores[:, a] = t_super t_super_finite = np.nan_to_num(t_super) for name in self.block_names_: p_b = self.block_loadings_[name].values[:, a] x_def[name] = x_def[name] - np.outer(t_super_finite, p_b) component_names = list(range(1, n_components + 1)) super_scores_df = pd.DataFrame(super_scores, index=sample_index, columns=component_names) block_scores_df = { name: pd.DataFrame(block_scores[name], index=sample_index, columns=component_names) for name in self.block_names_ } assert sample_index is not None # block_names_ is non-empty, so it was set in the loop predictions = self._in_y_units(super_scores @ self.super_y_loadings_.values.T, sample_index) # Per-block SPE for new observations (residual after final deflation) block_spe = { name: pd.Series( np.where(block_has_data[name], np.sqrt(np.nansum(x_def[name] ** 2, axis=1)), np.nan), index=sample_index, name=f"SPE[{name}]", ) for name in self.block_names_ } # A super score with no spread carries no T², by the rule PCA and PLS use (#1026) super_score_var = _t2_score_sd(np.sqrt(self.explained_variance_)) ** 2 standardised = (super_scores**2) / super_score_var cumulative = pd.DataFrame(np.cumsum(standardised, axis=1), index=sample_index, columns=component_names) hotellings_t2 = pd.Series(np.sum(standardised, axis=1), index=sample_index, name="Hotelling's T²") return DiagnoseResult( f"multivariate.{type(self).__name__}", super_scores=super_scores_df, block_scores=block_scores_df, predictions=predictions, block_spe=block_spe, cumulative_hotellings_t2=cumulative, hotellings_t2=hotellings_t2, )
[docs] def randomization_test_mbpls( model: MBPLS, X: dict[str, pd.DataFrame], y: pd.DataFrame, n_permutations: int = 200, *, random_state: int | np.random.Generator | None = None, **deprecated: int | None, ) -> pd.DataFrame: r"""Randomization (permutation) test for component significance in MBPLS. For each component ``a``, the null hypothesis is "there is no real relationship between X and Y at this component"; the test permutes the rows of ``y``, refits the model to them with its own settings (a clone of ``model``, with as many components as it was fitted with), and recomputes the test statistic. The risk is the fraction of permutations whose statistic equals or exceeds the original model's. Statistic: per-component absolute correlation between the super X-score and the super Y-score, ``|t_super(:,a)' u_super(:,a)| / (||t|| * ||u||)``. Parameters ---------- model : MBPLS A fitted MBPLS model. X, y : dict[str, DataFrame], DataFrame The same training data used to fit ``model``. n_permutations : int, default=200 Number of Y-row permutations to evaluate. random_state : int, numpy.random.Generator or None, default=None Draws the permutations. An int draws the same ones on every call, a Generator draws from its own state, and ``None`` draws fresh ones. **deprecated Takes ``seed``, the old name of ``random_state``, deprecated since 2.4.0 and removed in 3.0. Passing it warns; passing both raises a ``TypeError``, as does any other name. Returns ------- pd.DataFrame Indexed by component ``1..A`` with columns: - ``observed`` : the actual model's per-component statistic. - ``risk_pct`` : Monte-Carlo estimate (in %) of the right-tail probability, ``100 * (n_exceed + 1) / (n_permutations + 1)``. Low values (e.g. < 5%) suggest the component is significant; values near 50% suggest the component is no better than chance. The ``+ 1`` on each side counts the observed statistic among the permutations, which is what keeps the estimate a valid p-value: the uncorrected ``n_exceed / n_permutations`` can report exactly 0, and no finite permutation set can license the claim that the true tail probability is zero. The floor is ``100 / (n_permutations + 1)``, so the default 200 permutations cannot resolve below ~0.5%; raise ``n_permutations`` for finer resolution. This matches the convention already used by the Van der Voet test in :mod:`~process_improve.multivariate._pls` (#513). References ---------- Wiklund, S., Nilsson, D., Eriksson, L., Sjöström, M., Wold, S. & Faber, K. *A randomization test for PLS component selection.* J. Chemometrics, 21 (2007), 427-439. """ check_is_fitted(model, "super_scores_") check_whole("n_permutations", n_permutations) # seed is taken from **deprecated, not named in the signature, so that it adds no sixth argument (#307) if "seed" in deprecated: warnings.warn( "process_improve.multivariate.methods.randomization_test_mbpls(seed=...) is deprecated since 2.4.0 " "and will be removed in 3.0; use random_state instead.", DeprecationWarning, stacklevel=user_stacklevel(), ) if random_state is not None: raise TypeError("Pass random_state only: seed is its deprecated name.") random_state = deprecated.pop("seed") if deprecated: raise TypeError(f"randomization_test_mbpls() got an unexpected keyword argument {next(iter(deprecated))!r}") rng = check_random_state(random_state) a_components = model.n_components_ # Every setting of the model under test (#1072), and n_components_, not the parameter, which # set_params can have changed since the fit. permuted_model = clone(model).set_params(n_components=a_components) def _objective(mod: MBPLS) -> np.ndarray: t = mod.super_scores_.values u = mod.super_y_scores_.values out = np.zeros(t.shape[1]) for a in range(t.shape[1]): num = float(np.abs(t[:, a] @ u[:, a])) denom = float(np.linalg.norm(t[:, a]) * np.linalg.norm(u[:, a])) # SEC-33 (#282): float ``==`` zero only catches the exact-zero # case; a sub-eps near-zero denom produced a meaningless ratio # that the permutation test treated as an observed statistic. out[a] = 0.0 if denom <= epsqrt else num / denom return out observed = _objective(model) n_exceed = np.zeros(a_components) # fit reads the blocks and Y by position, never aligning their row labels, so the # permuted rows of Y meet the blocks' rows as they stand. for _ in range(int(n_permutations)): permuted_model.fit(X, y.iloc[rng.permutation(len(y))]) n_exceed += _objective(permuted_model) >= observed component_names = list(range(1, a_components + 1)) # See the `risk_pct` note in the docstring for why both sides carry the + 1. risk_pct = 100.0 * (n_exceed + 1) / (n_permutations + 1) return pd.DataFrame( {"observed": observed, "risk_pct": risk_pct}, index=pd.Index(component_names, name="component"), )